Bijelo Brdo 1-1 Vukovar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒14:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
22%
+11.1pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.5pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-6.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Vukovar EU Bookmakers 53%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.53/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.43/1.00
-10% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -55%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bijelo Brdo
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Vukovar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
42% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.10.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 1-1 HT 0-0 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
04.04.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 2-2 HT 1-0 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
09.03.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 3-2 HT 1-1 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
27.09.2023 Vukovar Vukovar 4-1 HT 2-0 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bijelo Brdo
1-1
AWAY Vukovar
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bijelo Brdo vs Vukovar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bijelo Brdo and Vukovar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vukovar at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Bijelo Brdo had 44% of the ball to Vukovar's 56%, shots finished 7-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vukovar led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bijelo Brdo and 2.50 for Vukovar.

What was the final score of Bijelo Brdo vs Vukovar?

Bijelo Brdo 1-1 Vukovar in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bijelo Brdo vs Vukovar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bijelo Brdo 34%, draw 24%, Vukovar 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vukovar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vukovar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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