FC Eindhoven 1-2 Utrecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
13%
9.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.79
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.55
X/1
22%
3.93
X/2
9%
12.6
X/X
9%
6.26
2/1
5%
21.35
2/2
7%
10.35
2/X
7%
18.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-6.0pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.1pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.42/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.60
+2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
367 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
21.2 Crosses 13.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Utrecht II
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.48 xG 0.62
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
344 Passes 388
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-4 HT 0-2 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
11.03.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 3-0 HT 2-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
15.12.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 2-5 HT 1-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
28.04.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-0 HT 2-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
07.11.2022 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
14.01.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 4-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
1-2
AWAY Utrecht II
1.68 xG 1.37
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
431 Passes 323
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Eindhoven vs Utrecht II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht II nicked a narrow win over FC Eindhoven 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. FC Eindhoven carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 56% of the ball to Utrecht II's 44%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.68 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Eindhoven had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for FC Eindhoven and 0.33 for Utrecht II.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs Utrecht II?

FC Eindhoven 1-2 Utrecht II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs Utrecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 58%, draw 22%, Utrecht II 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Eindhoven), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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