Aguilas Doradas 0-1 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
1.06/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.02
-1% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
17.3 Crosses 14.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Once Caldas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.55 xG 0.80
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
325 Passes 204
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.07.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-0 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
26.01.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-0 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
05.08.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-1 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
12.02.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-2 HT 0-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
19.07.2022 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-0 HT 2-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
30.01.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-1 HT 0-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
0-1
AWAY Once Caldas
1.00 xG 1.22
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
391 Passes 235
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 7
38 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas edged past Aguilas Doradas 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aguilas Doradas at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 62% of the ball to Once Caldas's 38%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.00 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 1.00 for Once Caldas.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Once Caldas?

Aguilas Doradas 0-1 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 46%, draw 27%, Once Caldas 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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