Deportivo Pereira 2-0 Fortaleza CEIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.2pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.9pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.02/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.03
-4% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
17.1 Crosses 12.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
0.66 xG 0.88
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
216 Passes 339
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 4
13.08.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
16.05.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOLK
09.05.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-1 HT 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLK
09.02.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
23.07.2014 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pereira
2-0
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
1.83 xG 1.04
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
139 Passes 413
67% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 34
9 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs Fortaleza CEIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira saw off Fortaleza CEIF 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Pereira found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Pereira had 30% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 70%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 1.83 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Deportivo Pereira and 0.60 for Fortaleza CEIF.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Deportivo Pereira 2-0 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pereira win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 38%, draw 30%, Fortaleza CEIF 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pereira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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