CS Herediano 2-1 San Carlos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY San Carlos EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
2.17/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.15
+12% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
1W-1D-4L
AWAY San Carlos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
07.11.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 0-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
11.09.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-2 HT 1-2 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
28.03.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 2-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
21.01.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 0-1 HT 0-1 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
12.11.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-1 HT 2-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
14.09.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-1 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
2-1
AWAY San Carlos
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs San Carlos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano edged past San Carlos 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CS Herediano as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, CS Herediano had 58% of the ball to San Carlos's 42%, shots finished 16-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Carlos led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CS Herediano and 1.33 for San Carlos.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs San Carlos?

CS Herediano 2-1 San Carlos in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs San Carlos?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 56%, draw 27%, San Carlos 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Herediano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
23 Feb 2025
02:00 Puntarenas FC vs Municipal Liberia Analysis →