Al Nasar 3-0 Al Qadsia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒16:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
60%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.77
6+ Goals
9%
7.84
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.23 — our 27% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
3%
X/2
24%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+4.5pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.7pp
60%
Away Win
66%
-6.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Qadsia EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +16%
1.19/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.56/0.71
+7% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +65%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
248 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasar
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Al Qadsia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
27.05.2024 Al Nasar Al Nasar 2-4 HT 1-1 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
03.05.2024 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
07.01.2024 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
22.10.2023 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
13.02.2023 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 5-1 HT 2-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nasar
3-0
AWAY Al Qadsia
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Al Nasar vs Al Qadsia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasar swept aside Al Qadsia 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Qadsia at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Al Nasar had 36% of the ball to Al Qadsia's 64%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Qadsia led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Nasar and 2.50 for Al Qadsia.

What was the final score of Al Nasar vs Al Qadsia?

Al Nasar 3-0 Al Qadsia in the Kuwait - Premier League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasar vs Al Qadsia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Qadsia win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Al Nasar 18%, draw 22%, Al Qadsia 60%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Qadsia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Qadsia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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