Chelmsford City 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Feb 2026

📅23/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
2.96
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.51
6+ Goals
8%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 28% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+8.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.56/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.27
+2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
319 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2025 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
15.11.2025 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İNFAT
10.02.2025 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
21.10.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
20.02.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-4 HT 1-2 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
04.09.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-2 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelmsford City
1-0
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City squeezed past Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and on the day Chelmsford City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Chelmsford City had 61% of the ball to Hemel Hempstead Town's 39%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hemel Hempstead Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chelmsford City and 1.17 for Hemel Hempstead Town.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Chelmsford City 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 23/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 39%, draw 23%, Hemel Hempstead Town 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelmsford City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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