Shamrock Rovers 1-1 Dundalk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 23 Feb 2026

📅23/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.56
6+ Goals
8%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 32% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.83
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
17.4
X/1
20%
3.73
X/2
7%
12.5
X/X
15%
5.33
2/1
9%
24.8
2/2
6%
11.2
2/X
6%
20.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.0pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundalk EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.49/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.27
+5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
285 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 69%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.9 Crosses 19.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dundalk
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.97 xG 0.43
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
439 Passes 200
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-1 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
04.07.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
17.05.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 1-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
16.02.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-1 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
25.08.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
23.07.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 1-0 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
1-1
AWAY Dundalk
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers and Dundalk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Shamrock Rovers at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 54% of the ball to Dundalk's 46%, shots finished 5-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 0.50 for Dundalk.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk?

Shamrock Rovers 1-1 Dundalk in the Ireland - Premier League on 23/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 55%, draw 27%, Dundalk 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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