AZ Alkmaar II 2-2 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 23 Feb 2026

📅23/02/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.89
Over
61%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
62%
1.35
No
38%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1
19%
6.16
2-3
39%
2.06
4-5
28%
2.39
6+
14%
4.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.38
1/2
6%
21.4
1/X
7%
12.25
X/1
12%
6.24
X/2
15%
6.15
X/X
10%
6.41
2/1
6%
21.8
2/2
19%
3.3
2/X
5%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
70%
-7.9pp
38%
BTTS No
30%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ Alkmaar II The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch The Market 42%
-6% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.45/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.30
+4% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
11.0 Crosses 19.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Den Bosch
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.80 xG 1.47
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
393 Passes 301
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 23
7 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2025 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-3 HT 2-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
28.04.2025 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
16.08.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 6-0 HT 3-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
16.02.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-0 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
11.12.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
17.02.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 3-1 HT 2-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
2-2
AWAY Den Bosch
64% Ball Possession 36%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH AZ Alkmaar II vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ Alkmaar II and Den Bosch couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 22% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 64% of the ball to Den Bosch's 36%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar II had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 1.50 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs Den Bosch?

AZ Alkmaar II 2-2 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 23/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated an Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 39%, draw 22%, Den Bosch 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Den Bosch) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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