FK Riteriai 1-2 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 23 Feb 2026

📅23/02/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
9.57
Draw
15%
5.28
Away
71%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
34%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
30%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
8%
+6.3pp
15%
Draw
16%
-0.6pp
71%
Away Win
77%
-5.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Riteriai EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 81%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.08/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/0.46
+47% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +111%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
248 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Riteriai
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 6-1 HT 3-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LITA
05.07.2025 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 1-5 HT 0-3 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
04.05.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 1-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LITA
16.03.2025 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
05.11.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 1-3 HT 0-2 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
13.08.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-2 HT 2-2 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Riteriai
1-2
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
28% Ball Possession 72%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Riteriai vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris nicked a narrow win over FK Riteriai 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, FK Riteriai had 28% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris's 72%, shots finished 5-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Riteriai and 3.33 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of FK Riteriai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

FK Riteriai 1-2 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 23/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Riteriai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split FK Riteriai 14%, draw 15%, Kauno Zalgiris 71%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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