CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction — Model Probabilities
CA Penarol v Deportivo Maldonado — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
CA Penarol 2-1 Deportivo Maldonado — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol squeezed past Deportivo Maldonado 2-1. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (56%) came home.
Under the surface, CA Penarol had 58% of the ball to Deportivo Maldonado's 42%, shots finished 12-10.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CA Penarol and 0.67 for Deportivo Maldonado.
CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado Result & Final Score
CA Penarol 2-1 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 59%, draw 22%, Deportivo Maldonado 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.