Torquay United 1-0 Hampton & Richmond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.08
6+ Goals
10%
9.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 27% vs market 19.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
43%
-9.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torquay United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
1.57/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.32
+2% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torquay United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Hampton & Richmond
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 3-1 HT 2-0 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
18.10.2022 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 1-2 HT 1-0 Torquay United Torquay United FAK
15.10.2022 Torquay United Torquay United 2-2 HT 0-1 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torquay United
1-0
AWAY Hampton & Richmond
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torquay United vs Hampton & Richmond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United edged past Hampton & Richmond 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Torquay United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Torquay United had 50% of the ball to Hampton & Richmond's 50%, shots finished 7-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Torquay United and 2.00 for Hampton & Richmond.

What was the final score of Torquay United vs Hampton & Richmond?

Torquay United 1-0 Hampton & Richmond in the England - Conference on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torquay United vs Hampton & Richmond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hampton & Richmond win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Torquay United 34%, draw 28%, Hampton & Richmond 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hampton & Richmond), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hampton & Richmond) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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