Alcorcon vs Real Oviedo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alcorcon v Real Oviedo — Team-Based Signals
Alcorcon vs Real Oviedo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Alcorcon
İS2
1-2
HT 0-0
Real Oviedo
İS2
3-1
HT 0-0
Alcorcon
İS2
1-1
HT 1-0
Real Oviedo
İS2
1-1
HT 0-0
Alcorcon
İS2
1-2
HT 0-2
Alcorcon
İS2
Alcorcon 1-0 Real Oviedo — Actual Match Statistics
Alcorcon squeezed past Real Oviedo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Real Oviedo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Alcorcon had 30% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 70%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.52 to 0.50.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Oviedo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alcorcon and 1.67 for Real Oviedo.
What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Real Oviedo?
Alcorcon 1-0 Real Oviedo in the Spain - 2nd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Real Oviedo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 30%, draw 29%, Real Oviedo 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Oviedo) went the other way.