Cartagena 1-0 FC Andorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.49
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.1
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
18%
5.33
X/2
17%
5.39
X/X
15%
3.49
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
10%
4.15
2/X
6%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.0pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.6pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.0pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cartagena EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Andorra EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.34/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.12
+21% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
22.6 Crosses 16.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cartagena
1W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Andorra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.45 xG 1.91
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
212 Passes 555
76% Pass Accuracy 90%
13 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2023 FC Andorra FC Andorra 3-2 HT 0-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
12.03.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 0-3 HT 0-0 FC Andorra FC Andorra İS2
04.12.2022 FC Andorra FC Andorra 0-1 HT 0-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cartagena
1-0
AWAY FC Andorra
0.70 xG 1.61
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
160 Passes 460
63% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 31
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cartagena vs FC Andorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cartagena squeezed past FC Andorra 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Cartagena found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cartagena had 32% of the ball to FC Andorra's 68%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.70 to 1.61 — on chances, FC Andorra could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FC Andorra led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cartagena and 2.00 for FC Andorra.

What was the final score of Cartagena vs FC Andorra?

Cartagena 1-0 FC Andorra in the Spain - 2nd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cartagena vs FC Andorra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cartagena win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 38%, draw 29%, FC Andorra 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cartagena), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cartagena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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