Espanyol 1-1 Tenerife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.33
No
60%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
18%
6.43
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.73
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.1
X/1
12%
3.88
X/2
11%
7.93
X/X
9%
3.46
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
8%
7.34
2/X
8%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.8pp
60%
BTTS No
61%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.44/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.18
+3% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
18.4 Crosses 14.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Tenerife
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.45 xG 0.80
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
394 Passes 242
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.09.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 1-0 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS2
23.05.2021 Espanyol Espanyol 1-1 HT 0-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
25.10.2020 Tenerife Tenerife 0-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS2
30.11.2017 Espanyol Espanyol 3-2 HT 1-1 Tenerife Tenerife İSPK
26.10.2017 Tenerife Tenerife 0-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İSPK
09.08.2014 Tenerife Tenerife 0-1 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol
1-1
AWAY Tenerife
2.12 xG 0.38
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
436 Passes 186
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 8
28 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Espanyol vs Tenerife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol and Tenerife couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Espanyol at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Espanyol had 66% of the ball to Tenerife's 34%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.12 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Espanyol and 0.67 for Tenerife.

What was the final score of Espanyol vs Tenerife?

Espanyol 1-1 Tenerife in the Spain - 2nd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol vs Tenerife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Espanyol win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 50%, draw 26%, Tenerife 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Espanyol), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Espanyol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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