Andratx 0-2 Pena Deportiva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Andratx EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.42/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.05
+14% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Andratx
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Pena Deportiva
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 2-1 HT 2-1 Andratx Andratx İS4
13.03.2022 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 1-0 HT 0-0 Andratx Andratx İS4
24.10.2021 Andratx Andratx 4-3 HT 1-2 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Andratx
0-2
AWAY Pena Deportiva
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Andratx vs Pena Deportiva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pena Deportiva got the better of Andratx 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Andratx at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Andratx had 57% of the ball to Pena Deportiva's 43%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pena Deportiva led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Andratx and 2.00 for Pena Deportiva.

What was the final score of Andratx vs Pena Deportiva?

Andratx 0-2 Pena Deportiva in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Andratx vs Pena Deportiva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Andratx win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Andratx 44%, draw 26%, Pena Deportiva 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Andratx) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Andratx) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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