Coruxo 1-0 Arandina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coruxo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Arandina EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.46/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.63
+6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coruxo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Arandina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
11.11.2023 Arandina Arandina 0-1 HT 0-1 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coruxo
1-0
AWAY Arandina
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Coruxo vs Arandina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coruxo squeezed past Arandina 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Coruxo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Coruxo had 52% of the ball to Arandina's 48%, shots finished 14-16.

What was the final score of Coruxo vs Arandina?

Coruxo 1-0 Arandina in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coruxo vs Arandina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coruxo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Coruxo 42%, draw 27%, Arandina 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coruxo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coruxo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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