Guijuelo vs Covadonga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guijuelo v Covadonga — Team-Based Signals
Guijuelo vs Covadonga Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Guijuelo
İS4
3-1
HT 2-1
Covadonga
İS3
Guijuelo 2-1 Covadonga — Actual Match Statistics
Guijuelo nicked a narrow win over Covadonga 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Guijuelo as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Guijuelo had 57% of the ball to Covadonga's 43%, shots finished 12-8.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Guijuelo had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guijuelo and 0.50 for Covadonga.
What was the final score of Guijuelo vs Covadonga?
Guijuelo 2-1 Covadonga in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guijuelo vs Covadonga?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guijuelo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Guijuelo 51%, draw 26%, Covadonga 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guijuelo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.