Rot Weiss Ahlen 3-1 Wegberg-Beeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
37%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
52%
-11.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
37%
Away Win
24%
+12.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot Weiss Ahlen EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Wegberg-Beeck EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.75/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.91
-4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot Weiss Ahlen
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Wegberg-Beeck
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.08.2023 Wegberg-Beeck Wegberg-Beeck 2-1 HT 0-0 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen ALMBÖL
23.04.2022 Wegberg-Beeck Wegberg-Beeck 0-1 HT 0-0 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen ALMBÖL
13.11.2021 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen 1-1 HT 0-0 Wegberg-Beeck Wegberg-Beeck ALMBÖL
20.03.2021 Wegberg-Beeck Wegberg-Beeck 2-1 HT 1-1 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen ALMBÖL
21.10.2020 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen 2-2 HT 2-2 Wegberg-Beeck Wegberg-Beeck ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot Weiss Ahlen
3-1
AWAY Wegberg-Beeck
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rot Weiss Ahlen vs Wegberg-Beeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot Weiss Ahlen got the better of Wegberg-Beeck 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Rot Weiss Ahlen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Rot Weiss Ahlen had 62% of the ball to Wegberg-Beeck's 38%, shots finished 21-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Wegberg-Beeck led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Rot Weiss Ahlen and 1.40 for Wegberg-Beeck.

What was the final score of Rot Weiss Ahlen vs Wegberg-Beeck?

Rot Weiss Ahlen 3-1 Wegberg-Beeck in the Germany - Regional League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot Weiss Ahlen vs Wegberg-Beeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot Weiss Ahlen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rot Weiss Ahlen 40%, draw 23%, Wegberg-Beeck 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot Weiss Ahlen), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rot Weiss Ahlen) ✓ BTTS Yes
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