Weiche Flensburg 4-3 BW Lohne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.82
Draw
35%
3.45
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
51%
-14.5pp
35%
Draw
26%
+9.4pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY BW Lohne EU Bookmakers 27%
-16% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
1.39/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.86
-24% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weiche Flensburg
1W-0D-2L
AWAY BW Lohne
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
30.09.2023 BW Lohne BW Lohne 0-3 HT 0-1 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
19.03.2023 BW Lohne BW Lohne 2-0 HT 1-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
17.09.2022 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 1-2 HT 0-1 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Weiche Flensburg
4-3
AWAY BW Lohne
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Weiche Flensburg vs BW Lohne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weiche Flensburg edged past BW Lohne 4-3. Half-time: 1-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 35% / 29%) promised a tight game; Weiche Flensburg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Weiche Flensburg had 51% of the ball to BW Lohne's 49%, shots finished 17-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, BW Lohne led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Weiche Flensburg and 1.33 for BW Lohne.

What was the final score of Weiche Flensburg vs BW Lohne?

Weiche Flensburg 4-3 BW Lohne in the Germany - Regional League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weiche Flensburg vs BW Lohne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weiche Flensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Weiche Flensburg 36%, draw 35%, BW Lohne 29%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weiche Flensburg), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Weiche Flensburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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