23/03/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Alencon vs AG Caennaise Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
Over Pick
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
42%
4-5
30%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
4%
2/1
9%
2/2
34%
2/X
15%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Away Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
27%
Home Win
6%
23%
Draw
14%
51%
Away Win
80%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alencon v AG Caennaise — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Alencon
The Market 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
AG Caennaise
The Market 84%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
40%
Ball Possession
60%
9
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
7
258 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
416 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Alencon vs AG Caennaise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Alencon got the better of AG Caennaise 3-1.
Our pre-match lean was AG Caennaise at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Alencon vs AG Caennaise?
Alencon 3-1 AG Caennaise in the France - National League 3 on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alencon vs AG Caennaise?
Before kick-off our model rated an AG Caennaise win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Alencon 27%, draw 23%, AG Caennaise 51%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AG Caennaise) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (AG Caennaise)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
23 Mar 2024