FC Challans 5-1 Ancienne Château-Gontier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.27
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
22%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
47%
4-5
23%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
FC Challans win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
59%
Home Win
75%
-15.7pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.2pp
22%
Away Win
9%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Challans The Market 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Ancienne Château-Gontier The Market 11%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +86% / +86%
2.03/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+34% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% /
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
495 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH FC Challans vs Ancienne Château-Gontier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Challans ran out comfortable winners over Ancienne Château-Gontier 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Challans as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

What was the final score of FC Challans vs Ancienne Château-Gontier?

FC Challans 5-1 Ancienne Château-Gontier in the France - National League 3 on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Challans vs Ancienne Château-Gontier?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Challans win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split FC Challans 59%, draw 19%, Ancienne Château-Gontier 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Challans), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Challans) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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