23/03/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Flers vs Les Mureaux Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
40%
4-5
17%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
13%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
39%
Home Win
34%
32%
Draw
30%
28%
Away Win
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Flers v Les Mureaux — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Flers
The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Les Mureaux
The Market 39%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-4% /
-4%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
13
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
324 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
322 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Flers vs Les Mureaux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Flers edged past Les Mureaux 2-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 28% — and on the day Flers made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Flers vs Les Mureaux?
Flers 2-1 Les Mureaux in the France - National League 3 on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Flers vs Les Mureaux?
Before kick-off our model rated a Flers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Flers 39%, draw 32%, Les Mureaux 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Flers)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
23 Mar 2024