23/03/2024
·
21:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Jura Dolois vs Dijon II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
43%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
40%
Home Win
37%
28%
Draw
25%
32%
Away Win
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jura Dolois v Dijon II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Jura Dolois
The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Dijon II
The Market 42%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
11
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
5
284 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
289 · 67%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Jura Dolois vs Dijon II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Jura Dolois edged past Dijon II 1-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Jura Dolois found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Jura Dolois vs Dijon II?
Jura Dolois 1-0 Dijon II in the France - National League 3 on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jura Dolois vs Dijon II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jura Dolois win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jura Dolois 40%, draw 28%, Dijon II 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jura Dolois), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Jura Dolois)
✓ Under 2.5
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23 Mar 2024