Skofja Loka 2-3 ND Slovan Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 3.SNL, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No Pick
56%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
47%
4-5
19%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skofja Loka The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY ND Slovan Ljubljana The Market 36%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-25% / -69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Skofja Loka vs ND Slovan Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ND Slovan Ljubljana edged past Skofja Loka 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Skofja Loka at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Skofja Loka vs ND Slovan Ljubljana?

Skofja Loka 2-3 ND Slovan Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 3.SNL on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skofja Loka vs ND Slovan Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skofja Loka win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Skofja Loka 46%, draw 23%, ND Slovan Ljubljana 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Skofja Loka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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