Tenerife 2-1 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.9
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.53
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
13%
4.77
X/2
14%
6.14
X/X
16%
3.42
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
10%
5.18
2/X
9%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.7pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.2pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.26/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.62
-18% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
19.8 Crosses 18.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cadiz
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.06 xG 1.08
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
336 Passes 298
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
31.08.2024 Cadiz Cadiz 2-2 HT 0-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
27.06.2020 Cadiz Cadiz 0-2 HT 0-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
17.11.2019 Tenerife Tenerife 1-1 HT 1-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
16.02.2019 Cadiz Cadiz 2-0 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
29.09.2018 Tenerife Tenerife 1-0 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
12.09.2018 Tenerife Tenerife 1-2 HT 0-1 Cadiz Cadiz İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife
2-1
AWAY Cadiz
1.21 xG 2.38
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
239 Passes 364
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tenerife vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife squeezed past Cadiz 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Tenerife found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tenerife had 41% of the ball to Cadiz's 59%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.21 to 2.38 — on chances, Cadiz could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tenerife and 1.17 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of Tenerife vs Cadiz?

Tenerife 2-1 Cadiz in the Spain - 2nd Division on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tenerife 39%, draw 30%, Cadiz 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tenerife) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tenerife) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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