Levante 3-2 CD Castellon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 23 Mar 2025

Levante
3-2 HT 2-1
CD Castellon
📅23/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Levante vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 28% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.69
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
16%
4.63
X/2
11%
7.41
X/X
11%
4.85
2/1
10%
23.85
2/2
11%
5.53
2/X
9%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Levante v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levante EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 30%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.58/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.72
+18% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
18.9 Crosses 16.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Levante vs CD Castellon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levante
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CD Castellon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.91 xG 1.32
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
268 Passes 277
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.10.2024 CD Castellon CD Castellon 2-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
17.07.2024 Levante Levante 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon HAZ
13.06.2010 Levante Levante 3-1 HT 3-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
16.01.2010 CD Castellon CD Castellon 0-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
21.03.2009 Levante Levante 3-1 HT 2-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
18.10.2008 CD Castellon CD Castellon 4-1 HT 2-0 Levante Levante İS2

Levante 3-2 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levante
3-2
AWAY CD Castellon
2.57 xG 1.47
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
239 Passes 306
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Levante vs CD Castellon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levante squeezed past CD Castellon 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Levante as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Levante had 46% of the ball to CD Castellon's 54%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 2.57 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levante had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Levante and 1.33 for CD Castellon.

What was the final score of Levante vs CD Castellon?

Levante 3-2 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levante vs CD Castellon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levante win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Levante 44%, draw 26%, CD Castellon 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levante) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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