Sporting Gijon 0-2 Albacete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.9
6+ Goals
10%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 34% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.82
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
17%
4.66
X/2
12%
7.34
X/X
12%
4.27
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
8%
5.7
2/X
5%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.1pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Albacete EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.23/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.45
+4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
21.3 Crosses 16.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Gijon
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Albacete
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.56 xG 1.49
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
373 Passes 306
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Albacete Albacete 3-3 HT 1-2 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
01.03.2024 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-1 HT 1-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
22.10.2023 Albacete Albacete 1-3 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
05.03.2023 Albacete Albacete 2-1 HT 2-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
03.11.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-2 HT 1-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
20.02.2021 Albacete Albacete 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Gijon
0-2
AWAY Albacete
0.70 xG 2.84
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
350 Passes 340
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 27
32 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sporting Gijon vs Albacete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete beat Sporting Gijon 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Gijon at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Gijon had 52% of the ball to Albacete's 48%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 0.70 to 2.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sporting Gijon and 1.50 for Albacete.

What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?

Sporting Gijon 0-2 Albacete in the Spain - 2nd Division on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 45%, draw 27%, Albacete 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sporting Gijon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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