Eibar 2-1 Huesca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 23 Mar 2025

Eibar
2-1 HT 0-0
Huesca
📅23/03/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
6.04
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.72
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.55
X/1
14%
4.09
X/2
11%
8.0
X/X
14%
3.5
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
9%
7.47
2/X
9%
17.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.0pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Huesca EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.30/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.22
+2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +54%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
22.6 Crosses 14.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Huesca
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.44 xG 1.35
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
427 Passes 222
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Huesca Huesca 2-1 HT 1-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
21.01.2024 Huesca Huesca 2-3 HT 0-2 Eibar Eibar İS2
15.10.2023 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 0-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
27.05.2023 Huesca Huesca 0-1 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
04.12.2022 Eibar Eibar 2-1 HT 0-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
30.07.2022 Eibar Eibar 3-1 HT 2-1 Huesca Huesca HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
2-1
AWAY Huesca
0.93 xG 0.14
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
421 Passes 266
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
35 Box Touches 4
32 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Huesca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar edged past Huesca 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eibar as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eibar had 58% of the ball to Huesca's 42%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 0.93 to 0.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eibar had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Eibar and 1.17 for Huesca.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Huesca?

Eibar 2-1 Huesca in the Spain - 2nd Division on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Huesca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Eibar 42%, draw 30%, Huesca 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eibar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eibar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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