Amorebieta 1-1 Osasuna II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.2
6+ Goals
10%
21.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.51/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.46
+20% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amorebieta
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Osasuna II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.01.2025 Osasuna II Osasuna II 3-0 HT 2-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS3
18.02.2023 Amorebieta Amorebieta 2-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
11.09.2022 Osasuna II Osasuna II 2-1 HT 1-1 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS3
01.02.2020 Osasuna II Osasuna II 3-2 HT 1-1 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS3
14.09.2019 Amorebieta Amorebieta 1-0 HT 1-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
27.08.2017 Osasuna II Osasuna II 1-1 HT 1-1 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amorebieta
1-1
AWAY Osasuna II
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amorebieta vs Osasuna II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amorebieta and Osasuna II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Amorebieta had 58% of the ball to Osasuna II's 42%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Amorebieta and 1.50 for Osasuna II.

What was the final score of Amorebieta vs Osasuna II?

Amorebieta 1-1 Osasuna II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amorebieta vs Osasuna II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amorebieta win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Amorebieta 38%, draw 28%, Osasuna II 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Amorebieta), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amorebieta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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