Fuenlabrada 0-1 Sevilla II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.9
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuenlabrada EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla II EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.26/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.84
-10% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
216 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuenlabrada
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sevilla II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2024 Sevilla II Sevilla II 0-0 HT 0-0 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fuenlabrada
0-1
AWAY Sevilla II
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fuenlabrada vs Sevilla II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla II squeezed past Fuenlabrada 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Fuenlabrada at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Fuenlabrada had 45% of the ball to Sevilla II's 55%, shots finished 9-15.

What was the final score of Fuenlabrada vs Sevilla II?

Fuenlabrada 0-1 Sevilla II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuenlabrada vs Sevilla II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fuenlabrada win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fuenlabrada 41%, draw 27%, Sevilla II 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fuenlabrada) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fuenlabrada) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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