Mostoles 2-0 Getafe II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mostoles EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe II EU Bookmakers 39%
-16% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.76/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.55
-32% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mostoles
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Getafe II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
10.11.2024 Getafe II Getafe II 4-0 HT 1-0 Mostoles İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mostoles
2-0
AWAY Getafe II
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mostoles vs Getafe II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mostoles beat Getafe II 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Mostoles made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Mostoles had 36% of the ball to Getafe II's 64%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Mostoles vs Getafe II?

Mostoles 2-0 Getafe II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mostoles vs Getafe II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Getafe II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mostoles 35%, draw 28%, Getafe II 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Getafe II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Getafe II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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