Talavera CF 0-1 Rayo Majadahonda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.48/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.13
+5% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talavera CF
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda 0-1 HT 0-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
26.02.2023 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda 2-1 HT 1-1 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
15.10.2022 Talavera CF Talavera CF 0-2 HT 0-1 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda İS3
10.04.2022 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda 1-2 HT 0-2 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
06.02.2022 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda 2-1 HT 1-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
28.11.2021 Talavera CF Talavera CF 0-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Talavera CF
0-1
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda
63% Ball Possession 37%
27 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Talavera CF vs Rayo Majadahonda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Majadahonda nicked a narrow win over Talavera CF 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Talavera CF at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Talavera CF had 63% of the ball to Rayo Majadahonda's 37%, shots finished 27-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rayo Majadahonda led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Talavera CF and 1.17 for Rayo Majadahonda.

What was the final score of Talavera CF vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Talavera CF 0-1 Rayo Majadahonda in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talavera CF vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Talavera CF 42%, draw 29%, Rayo Majadahonda 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Talavera CF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Talavera CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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