UD Logrones 1-1 SD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.1pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY SD Logrones EU Bookmakers 28%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.46/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.21
-65% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Logrones
1W-2D-3L
AWAY SD Logrones
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
10.11.2024 SD Logrones SD Logrones 0-0 HT 0-0 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS4
12.02.2023 SD Logrones SD Logrones 0-0 HT 0-0 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS3
18.09.2022 UD Logrones UD Logrones 1-3 HT 0-2 SD Logrones SD Logrones İS3
14.05.2022 SD Logrones SD Logrones 3-2 HT 2-1 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS3
10.10.2021 UD Logrones UD Logrones 0-1 HT 0-1 SD Logrones SD Logrones İS3
04.05.2014 SD Logrones SD Logrones 0-1 HT 0-1 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Logrones
1-1
AWAY SD Logrones
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UD Logrones vs SD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Logrones and SD Logrones couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was UD Logrones at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, UD Logrones had 59% of the ball to SD Logrones's 41%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SD Logrones led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for UD Logrones and 1.17 for SD Logrones.

What was the final score of UD Logrones vs SD Logrones?

UD Logrones 1-1 SD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Logrones vs SD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split UD Logrones 47%, draw 27%, SD Logrones 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (UD Logrones), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UD Logrones) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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