Xerez Deportivo 2-0 Antoniano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
27%
2.77
Away
40%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
24%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.3pp
27%
Draw
33%
-5.5pp
40%
Away Win
29%
+10.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.0pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Antoniano EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.05/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.09
-13% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez Deportivo
2-0
AWAY Antoniano
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Xerez Deportivo vs Antoniano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez Deportivo beat Antoniano 2-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Xerez Deportivo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Xerez Deportivo had 39% of the ball to Antoniano's 61%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Xerez Deportivo vs Antoniano?

Xerez Deportivo 2-0 Antoniano in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez Deportivo vs Antoniano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Antoniano win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Xerez Deportivo 33%, draw 27%, Antoniano 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Antoniano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Antoniano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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