Maitland 3-5 Newcastle Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
54%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
25%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+1.4pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.6pp
54%
Away Win
58%
-4.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.4pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maitland EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Olympic EU Bookmakers 62%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.09/4.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.38/0.89
+68% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maitland
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Newcastle Olympic
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2024 Maitland Maitland 1-2 HT 0-0 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
16.03.2024 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 0-3 HT 0-0 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
05.08.2023 Maitland Maitland 1-2 HT 1-0 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
07.05.2023 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 3-2 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
21.08.2022 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 2-1 HT 1-1 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
21.05.2022 Maitland Maitland 4-2 HT 3-0 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Maitland vs Newcastle Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Olympic beat Maitland 5-3 away from home. The game was level at 3-3 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newcastle Olympic as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle Olympic led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Maitland and 1.83 for Newcastle Olympic.

What was the final score of Maitland vs Newcastle Olympic?

Maitland 3-5 Newcastle Olympic in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maitland vs Newcastle Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle Olympic win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Maitland 23%, draw 23%, Newcastle Olympic 54%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle Olympic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle Olympic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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