New Lambton FC 1-5 Weston Bears — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.78
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
59%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+9.3pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.1pp
59%
Away Win
74%
-15.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New Lambton FC EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston Bears EU Bookmakers 79%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.82/3.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.86/0.77
-19% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +29%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
215 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 494 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New Lambton FC
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Weston Bears
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 3.25
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.07.2024 Weston Bears Weston Bears 3-0 HT 1-0 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC AVNSW
19.04.2024 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
05.08.2023 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 0-4 HT 0-2 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
07.05.2023 Weston Bears Weston Bears 5-3 HT 3-2 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC AVNPL
POST-MATCH New Lambton FC vs Weston Bears
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston Bears swept aside New Lambton FC 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Weston Bears as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Weston Bears led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for New Lambton FC and 3.25 for Weston Bears.

What was the final score of New Lambton FC vs Weston Bears?

New Lambton FC 1-5 Weston Bears in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New Lambton FC vs Weston Bears?

Before kick-off our model rated an Weston Bears win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split New Lambton FC 19%, draw 22%, Weston Bears 59%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston Bears), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Weston Bears) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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