Adelaide United II 3-2 Croydon Kings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.39
No
35%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.3pp
65%
BTTS Yes
68%
-2.7pp
35%
BTTS No
32%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Croydon Kings EU Bookmakers 36%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -23%
2.21/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.92
+22% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Croydon Kings
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.06.2024 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 3-4 HT 0-3 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
23.03.2024 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 2-4 HT 1-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
05.08.2023 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-2 HT 0-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
30.04.2023 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 1-1 HT 1-1 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
25.06.2022 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 2-3 HT 2-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
26.03.2022 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 3-4 HT 2-2 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide United II vs Croydon Kings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United II edged past Croydon Kings 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Adelaide United II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide United II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Adelaide United II and 2.33 for Croydon Kings.

What was the final score of Adelaide United II vs Croydon Kings?

Adelaide United II 3-2 Croydon Kings in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United II vs Croydon Kings?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United II 43%, draw 24%, Croydon Kings 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide United II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide United II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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