Nykobing 1-3 Middelfart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.07
6+ Goals
12%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
47%
Away Win
47%
+0.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nykobing EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Middelfart EU Bookmakers 50%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
0.31/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.20
-77% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nykobing
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Middelfart
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2024 Middelfart Middelfart 1-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
09.06.2024 Nykobing Nykobing 2-1 HT 1-1 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
11.05.2024 Middelfart Middelfart 2-0 HT 1-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
21.10.2023 Middelfart Middelfart 2-2 HT 1-1 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
02.09.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 0-0 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nykobing
1-3
AWAY Middelfart
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nykobing vs Middelfart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart saw off Nykobing 3-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Middelfart as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nykobing had 46% of the ball to Middelfart's 54%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Middelfart led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Nykobing and 1.20 for Middelfart.

What was the final score of Nykobing vs Middelfart?

Nykobing 1-3 Middelfart in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nykobing vs Middelfart?

Before kick-off our model rated an Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Nykobing 31%, draw 22%, Middelfart 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middelfart), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Middelfart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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