Sham Shui Po 3-1 Eastern District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
54%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.49
No
55%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
29%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
26%
-4.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
54%
Away Win
50%
+3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
63%
-17.9pp
55%
BTTS No
37%
+17.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sham Shui Po EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern District EU Bookmakers 55%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.14
-12% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sham Shui Po
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Eastern District
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 Eastern District Eastern District 1-2 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po HK2
12.12.2021 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po 3-2 HT 3-1 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
POST-MATCH Sham Shui Po vs Eastern District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sham Shui Po beat Eastern District 3-1.

Our pre-match lean was Eastern District at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sham Shui Po had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sham Shui Po and 1.50 for Eastern District.

What was the final score of Sham Shui Po vs Eastern District?

Sham Shui Po 3-1 Eastern District in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sham Shui Po vs Eastern District?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eastern District win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sham Shui Po 22%, draw 24%, Eastern District 54%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eastern District) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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