Tuen Mun SA vs Citizen AA Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tuen Mun SA v Citizen AA — Team-Based Signals
Tuen Mun SA vs Citizen AA Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Tuen Mun SA 1-7 Citizen AA — Actual Match Statistics
Citizen AA cruised past Tuen Mun SA 7-1 away from home. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Citizen AA as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Tuen Mun SA had 38% of the ball to Citizen AA's 62%, shots finished 8-29.
What was the final score of Tuen Mun SA vs Citizen AA?
Tuen Mun SA 1-7 Citizen AA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tuen Mun SA vs Citizen AA?
Before kick-off our model rated an Citizen AA win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Tuen Mun SA 17%, draw 22%, Citizen AA 61%. The final score 1-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Citizen AA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.