Shatin SA 1-1 South China — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.75
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
37%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.41
No
51%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
23%
+15.1pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.9pp
37%
Away Win
57%
-20.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
67%
-17.5pp
51%
BTTS No
33%
+17.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY South China EU Bookmakers 62%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.86/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/1.71
-25% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -30%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
280 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 471 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shatin SA
2W-0D-3L
AWAY South China
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2024 South China South China 1-0 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
25.02.2024 South China South China 3-1 HT 1-0 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
15.10.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 3-2 HT 0-1 South China South China HK2
21.05.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 0-3 HT 0-0 South China South China HK2
16.10.2022 South China South China 1-2 HT 0-0 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shatin SA
1-1
AWAY South China
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shatin SA vs South China
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shatin SA and South China couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shatin SA had 49% of the ball to South China's 51%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, South China led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Shatin SA and 2.00 for South China.

What was the final score of Shatin SA vs South China?

Shatin SA 1-1 South China in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shatin SA vs South China?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shatin SA win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Shatin SA 38%, draw 25%, South China 37%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shatin SA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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