Mumbai City 4-0 Chennaiyin FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super Cup, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
47%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.91
Over
37%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.68
No
58%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
38%
3.3
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
16%
3.33
6+
5%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.3 — our 38% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
34%
-6.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
47%
Away Win
40%
+6.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
48%
+14.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
52%
-14.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.7pp
58%
BTTS No
44%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Chennaiyin FC EU Bookmakers 45%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-35% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +44%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mumbai City
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Chennaiyin FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.22 xG 0.87
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
359 Passes 190
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Mumbai City Mumbai City 1-0 HT 1-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
09.11.2024 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
23.02.2024 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
21.01.2024 Mumbai City Mumbai City 1-0 HT 2-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HINSK
19.04.2023 Mumbai City Mumbai City 1-0 HT 1-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HINSK
24.12.2022 Mumbai City Mumbai City 2-1 HT 1-1 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
POST-MATCH Mumbai City vs Chennaiyin FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mumbai City swept aside Chennaiyin FC 4-0.

Our pre-match lean was Chennaiyin FC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mumbai City had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mumbai City and 0.33 for Chennaiyin FC.

What was the final score of Mumbai City vs Chennaiyin FC?

Mumbai City 4-0 Chennaiyin FC in the India - Super Cup on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mumbai City vs Chennaiyin FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chennaiyin FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mumbai City 27%, draw 26%, Chennaiyin FC 47%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Chennaiyin FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chennaiyin FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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