Al Duhail SC 0-0 Al Gharafa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Cup, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.6
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.72
6+ Goals
12%
7.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
46%
-10.7pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.7pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.3pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Duhail SC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 33%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.13/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.10
+18% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
17.0 Crosses 24.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Duhail SC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Gharafa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.66 xG 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
402 Passes 351
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
27.10.2024 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
01.03.2024 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 1-4 HT 1-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
14.10.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 0-2 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KATYK
24.09.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 3-2 HT 0-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
14.04.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Duhail SC
0-0
AWAY Al Gharafa
1.51 xG 0.54
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 7
490 Passes 407
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Duhail SC vs Al Gharafa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Duhail SC and Al Gharafa played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Duhail SC had 54% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 46%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.51 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Gharafa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Duhail SC and 1.67 for Al Gharafa.

What was the final score of Al Duhail SC vs Al Gharafa?

Al Duhail SC 0-0 Al Gharafa in the Qatar - Cup on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Duhail SC vs Al Gharafa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Duhail SC win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Al Duhail SC 35%, draw 30%, Al Gharafa 35%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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