Al Gharafa 0-2 Al Duhail SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.98
4-5 Goals
26%
2.57
6+ Goals
12%
6.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+2.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-2.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.6pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Duhail SC EU Bookmakers 55%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +18%
1.71/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.45
+41% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +59%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
303 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 86%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
16.5 Crosses 21.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Gharafa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Duhail SC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.72 xG 1.32
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
328 Passes 430
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
01.03.2024 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 1-4 HT 1-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
14.10.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 0-2 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KATYK
24.09.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 3-2 HT 0-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
14.04.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
04.01.2023 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Gharafa
0-2
AWAY Al Duhail SC
0.14 xG 2.70
57% Ball Possession 43%
4 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
419 Passes 319
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 34
22 Crosses 18
POST-MATCH Al Gharafa vs Al Duhail SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Duhail SC saw off Al Gharafa 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Duhail SC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Gharafa had 57% of the ball to Al Duhail SC's 43%, shots finished 4-16, expected goals 0.14 to 2.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Gharafa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Gharafa and 1.50 for Al Duhail SC.

What was the final score of Al Gharafa vs Al Duhail SC?

Al Gharafa 0-2 Al Duhail SC in the Qatar League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Gharafa vs Al Duhail SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Duhail SC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 29%, draw 24%, Al Duhail SC 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Duhail SC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Duhail SC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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