Al Ahli 1-0 Al Rayyan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.13
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.6
6+ Goals
15%
6.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
20%
+6.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
50%
Away Win
59%
-8.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.5pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 62%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.21/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.09
-2% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +48%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
263 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 85%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
10.0 Crosses 20.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Rayyan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.25 xG 1.53
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
248 Passes 402
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 3-2 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KATYK
26.10.2024 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
02.12.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
13.02.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
23.08.2022 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
23.01.2022 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
POST-MATCH Al Ahli vs Al Rayyan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli squeezed past Al Rayyan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Rayyan at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Ahli and 2.33 for Al Rayyan.

What was the final score of Al Ahli vs Al Rayyan?

Al Ahli 1-0 Al Rayyan in the Qatar League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli vs Al Rayyan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Rayyan win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli 26%, draw 24%, Al Rayyan 50%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Rayyan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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