Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 4-1 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.4
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
64%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
15%
+3.1pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.8pp
63%
Away Win
66%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 70%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +13%
1.11/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.05
+27% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
256 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.1
16.5 Crosses 19.9
3.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.57 xG 2.42
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
192 Passes 355
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 42
11 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 6-0 HT 2-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
01.09.2024 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-1 HT 0-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
12.05.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-2 HT 3-2 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
17.03.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 5-0 HT 2-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
08.10.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-3 HT 2-3 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
16.10.2022 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-1 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
4-1
AWAY Kızılyıldız
2.89 xG 3.64
34% Ball Possession 66%
20 Total Shots 21
10 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 15
152 Passes 337
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
29 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 37
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac cruised past Kızılyıldız 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kızılyıldız at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had 34% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 66%, shots finished 20-21, expected goals 2.89 to 3.64 — the balance of chances actually favoured Kızılyıldız.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac and 3.17 for Kızılyıldız.

What was the final score of Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Kızılyıldız?

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 4-1 Kızılyıldız in the Serbia - Super League on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 18%, draw 18%, Kızılyıldız 63%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kızılyıldız) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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