Universitario vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Universitario v Deportivo Garcilaso — Team-Based Signals
Universitario vs Deportivo Garcilaso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Universitario 4-1 Deportivo Garcilaso — Actual Match Statistics
Universitario made light work of Deportivo Garcilaso 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, possession split 55% to 45% in Universitario's favour, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 2.68 to 1.13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Universitario against 0.67 for Deportivo Garcilaso.
Universitario vs Deportivo Garcilaso Result & Final Score
Universitario 4 - 1 Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peru - Premier League on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Universitario vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Universitario 77%, draw 15%, Deportivo Garcilaso 8%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.