Oakland Roots 4-2 Las Vegas Lights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 23 Apr 2026

📅23/04/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 29%
-23% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +10%
1.16/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.46
-45% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
19.6 Crosses 14.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oakland Roots
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.46 xG 0.93
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 Passes 265
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.10.2025 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 2-2 HT 1-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
30.03.2025 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 0-0 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
20.10.2024 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 2-3 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
31.03.2024 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 0-3 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
10.09.2023 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 3-1 HT 0-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
27.07.2023 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 1-0 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oakland Roots
4-2
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
2.91 xG 1.26
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
432 Passes 334
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oakland Roots beat Las Vegas Lights 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Oakland Roots as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Oakland Roots had 56% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 44%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 2.91 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Oakland Roots and 1.67 for Las Vegas Lights.

What was the final score of Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights?

Oakland Roots 4-2 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oakland Roots win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Oakland Roots 46%, draw 27%, Las Vegas Lights 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oakland Roots), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oakland Roots) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
23 Apr 2026
02:30 Rhode Island vs Charleston Battery Analysis →