Las Vegas Lights vs Oakland Roots Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Las Vegas Lights v Oakland Roots — Team-Based Signals
Las Vegas Lights vs Oakland Roots Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-1
Oakland Roots
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
0-2
HT 0-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
1-1
HT 1-1
Oakland Roots
USLP
2-2
HT 2-1
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
Las Vegas Lights 2-3 Oakland Roots — Actual Match Statistics
Oakland Roots squeezed past Las Vegas Lights 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Las Vegas Lights at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Las Vegas Lights had 67% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 33%, shots finished 12-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Vegas Lights had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 0.83 for Oakland Roots.
What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs Oakland Roots?
Las Vegas Lights 2-3 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Las Vegas Lights vs Oakland Roots?
Before kick-off our model rated a Las Vegas Lights win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 44%, draw 26%, Oakland Roots 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.